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When will a recession happen?
⚠️ So, there is an interesting question as to "when?!?!" will all the things happen. When will the economy finally collapse? Or the other way around: when will it melt-up? There are two interesting statistics to look at, for answers. One is the inversion of the yield curve. This is a fundamental concept; inversion of the yield curve is a very accurate predictor of financial crises, and the guvm't itself considers it the #1 predictor.
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The non-bailout bank bailout
As you may have seen on the news, the 2008-style government bailout of banks has arrived. In contrast to the financial crisis of 2008, this time they are making the bailout look like not-bailout. The technical term they came up with is BTFP, Bank Term Funding Program, which is a bailout by another name.