Vote Up Down
Assets' performance around previous recessions
Issue
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^ 0 days, 100.0 is the start of a recession (we know it exactly b/c it's looking at historical data). Leading to a recession, everyone and everything is hurting. At the start of the recession, the stock market is hurting some more. Gold (which is a commodity) and other commodities seem to do well after the onset (but not before).
![](https://ish-drupal-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/public/inline-images/WhatsApp%20Image%202023-07-07%20at%205.47.56%20PM%20%281%29.jpeg?VersionId=vy6K2fDL1YWYEqoZzNn5ibKt8CxOM04J)
![](https://ish-drupal-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/public/inline-images/WhatsApp%20Image%202023-07-07%20at%205.47.56%20PM%20%282%29.jpeg?VersionId=z_75yyUkoCvb6ONCMvMf6WZfdnnj78u8)
![](https://ish-drupal-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/public/inline-images/WhatsApp%20Image%202023-07-07%20at%205.47.56%20PM.jpeg?VersionId=q5jXrZEde339gwTDLBgi0fkA6FLk5828)
^ historically speaking, unemployment hits the peak 18 months after inversion of the yield curve. We are half-way thru this process: the yield curve inverted 9 months ago.
![](https://ish-drupal-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/public/inline-images/WhatsApp%20Image%202023-07-07%20at%205.47.56%20PM%20%283%29.jpeg?VersionId=aP0T4b7j_xyWCtqb6yRnChKcZCKZ2chp)